A research-based, AI-assisted market sentiment dashboard that synthesises macro, technical, positioning, flow, and news inputs into a single transparent reading. Built for traders who want to understand why markets are positioned the way they are — not just what to do next.
Regime strength: Moderate·Last model review: Manual snapshot · Macro readings below are live
DXY
—
—
US 10Y
—
—
Real Yield (10Y)
—
—
VIX
—
—
Au
XAUUSD
Gold Spot
——
Research Model
Bullish pressure outweighs bearish pressure based on today’s macro and liquidity conditions.
Moderate Bullish Pressure
Composite+0.72
Trend Strength72%ModerateResearch Snapshot
Overall Market Pressure
Bullish Pressure—pts
Bearish Pressure—pts
Neutral Factors—
−2.0−1.20+1.2+2.0
CPI calendar pending
Regime Transition (19d)
Reason Summary
Falling real yields and a softening DXY remain the dominant macro tailwind. Daily structure confirms with higher highs and higher lows above the 50-day moving average. Conflicting: imminent CPI release introduces an event-risk caution overlay reducing model confidence.
24h Composite Trend+0.34
Market Activity Impact
Active NowNY Open
Current SessionNew York Open
Activity Level
LowMediumHigh
More active session; larger moves are possible. Wait for confirmation during volatility.
Factor Breakdown · 14 Inputs
Factor
Read
Wt
Score
Plain English
Real Yields (10Y TIPS)
—↓
16%
Bullish +1
Falling real yields reduce the cost of holding gold
US Dollar Index (DXY)
—↓
13%
Bullish +1
Weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers
Fed Rate Path
Dovish lean
11%
Bullish +1
Market pricing more cuts than 30 days ago
Treasury Yields (10Y)
—↓
7%
Bullish +1
Lower bond yields reduce opportunity cost
CPI / Inflation Regime
Sticky core
7%
Neutral 0
Pre-release; awaiting tomorrow's print
Central Bank Demand
1,037t YTD
7%
Bullish +2
Structurally elevated CB buying; long-term floor
COT Positioning
Mgr Long: 76%
7%
Neutral 0
Long positioning elevated; contrarian caution
Geopolitical Risk
Elevated
6%
Bullish +1
Ongoing tensions support safe-haven flows
Risk-On / Risk-Off
VIX —
5%
Neutral 0
Calm risk environment; minimal flight-to-safety
Technical Structure
D1 HH/HL
10%
Bullish +1
Daily structure bullish above 50-day MA
Volatility (GVZ)
15.8
3%
Neutral 0
Normal vol regime; no modifier applied
Session Strength
NY Open
2%
Bullish +1
High-liquidity session supports signal weight
Imminent Events
CPI calendar pending
3%
Bearish −1
Pre-event caution; trend strength reduced
Market Regime
Easing/Disinflation
3%
Bullish +1
Easing cycle structurally supportive for gold
₿
BTC
Bitcoin
——
Research Model
Bullish and bearish factors are broadly balanced — mixed conditions with elevated uncertainty.
Mixed Conditions
Composite+0.35
Trend Strength47%LowResearch Snapshot
Overall Market Pressure
Bullish Pressure—pts
Bearish Pressure—pts
Neutral Factors—
−2.0−1.20+1.2+2.0
Contradiction Detected
CPI calendar pending
Reason Summary
Macro liquidity and stablecoin supply lean bullish, but spot BTC ETF flows turned net-negative over the last 3 sessions — a direct contradiction at high-weight factors (USD Liquidity +1 vs ETF Flows −1). Engine forces High Caution until flow direction resolves. Composite remains mildly positive but should not be read as a directional signal.
24h Composite Trend−0.10
Market Activity Impact
Active NowUS AM
Current SessionUS Morning Session
Activity Level
LowMed–HighHigh
US session can react faster to ETF/news flow. Avoid rushed decisions.
Factor Breakdown · 13 Inputs
Factor
Read
Wt
Score
Plain English
Technical Structure
Consolidating
16%
Neutral 0
Weekly range-bound between 100k and 108k
USD Liquidity
M2 expanding
12%
Bullish +1
Global liquidity expanding supports risk assets
Spot BTC ETF Flows
−$248M (3d)
13%
Bearish −1
Three consecutive sessions of net outflows
Stablecoin Liquidity
+$1.8B WoW
9%
Bullish +1
Stablecoin supply rising; sideline capital growing
Equity Risk Appetite
NDX +1.2% WoW
9%
Bullish +1
Tech equities trending higher; risk-on tone
Fed Rate Path
Dovish lean
8%
Bullish +1
Lower rate path supports BTC long-term
BTC Dominance
58.4% ↑
7%
Bullish +1
Rising dominance reflects capital prioritising BTC
Research interpretation framework. Headline above updates live. Tags, AI note, and filter cards below illustrate how this class of news typically affects markets — they update periodically, not per-headline.
AI Note · Research framework
Falling real yields and softer Fed tone broadly support both Gold and Bitcoin near-term. However, the move is partially priced ahead of tomorrow's CPI release — meaning a hot inflation print could quickly reverse this dynamic. This news reinforces existing macro positioning rather than introducing fresh directional pressure.
✓
Historical Behavior
Bullish Both
Yield drops > 5 bps historically bullish for gold (78%) and BTC (64%)
GVZ 15.8 / DVOL 52.4 — within typical 30-day ranges
◐
Already Priced In
Partly
Some dovishness already in yields curve; CPI is the real test
◐
Surprise vs Forecast
Moderate
Slightly more dovish than consensus; not a major surprise
✓
Liquidity / Session
High
London/NY overlap; full liquidity supports clean read
Fundamental Intelligence Coming Soon
A deeper layer of asset-specific fundamentals. This is not live data yet — each card describes the data stream that will be wired in. Educational use only.
Gold — Structural Drivers
Central Bank Buying
Awaiting Data
Quarterly central-bank gold purchases — the structural floor under prices.
ETF Flows
Awaiting Data
Net inflows or outflows across global gold-backed ETFs.
Rolling sentiment composite for Gold and Bitcoin over the selected window. Coloured bands show sentiment threshold zones. Purple dots mark notable news events.
Gold (XAUUSD)
Bitcoin (BTC)
Event Marker
Y-axis: composite score (−2 to +2)
Avg Trend Strength (Period)
68%
Across both assets
Regime Transitions
1
Most recent: 19 days ago
Time in High Caution
14%
Periods with contradiction flag
How This Engine Works
The Z Trade University Live Sentiment Engine is a transparent, weighted model that combines 14 factors for Gold and 13 factors for Bitcoin. Every factor is scored from −2 to +2 against its historical behaviour. Weighted scores aggregate into a composite ranging from −2.0 to +2.0, which maps to one of six labels. Trend strength is derived from how aligned the factors are with that composite — not invented.
Weighted Factor Model
Each factor carries a weight reflecting its historically observed influence on the asset. Macro and yield factors dominate Gold; flow and liquidity factors dominate BTC.
−2 to +2 Scoring Scale
Every factor receives an integer from −2 (strongly bearish) to +2 (strongly bullish). The sum × weights produces the composite score that determines the sentiment label.
Trend Strength Logic
Trend strength reflects factor alignment, not bias size. Penalties reduce trend strength for low liquidity, imminent events, extreme volatility, and active contradiction.
Contradiction Detection
When high-weight factors disagree, the engine forces a "Mixed Conditions / High Caution" reading — protecting against false confidence in genuinely conflicted markets.
Data Sources
All factor inputs are sourced from established financial data providers and official statistical agencies. This dashboard does not aggregate retail sentiment polls or unverified data streams.
FRED
Free
Federal Reserve Economic Data — real yields, M2, Treasury yields, balance sheet
Daily / Weekly
CME FedWatch
Free
Implied Fed funds rate probabilities derived from futures markets
Real-time
CFTC COT
Free
Commitments of Traders report — institutional gold positioning
Weekly (Fri)
World Gold Council
Free
Central bank gold demand and global flow reports
Quarterly
CoinGecko
Free
BTC price, market cap, dominance ratio
Real-time
SoSoValue / Farside
Free
US spot Bitcoin ETF daily flow data
Daily
DeFiLlama
Free
Aggregated stablecoin supply and on-chain liquidity
This Live Market Sentiment dashboard is provided by Z Trade University for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, not a guaranteed prediction of market direction, and not a trade signal or recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
Sentiment readings reflect a transparent weighted model of macro, technical, positioning, flow, and news factors. They do not account for individual circumstances, risk tolerance, or specific trading conditions. Market conditions change rapidly; readings shown may not reflect the current state of the market.
Trading any financial instrument — including Gold (XAUUSD), Bitcoin (BTC), Forex pairs, or any other market — carries significant risk of loss. Always use stop losses, manage position size within a written trading plan, and conduct your own analysis before making any trading decision.
Past patterns observed in the model do not guarantee future outcomes. Z Trade University accepts no liability for trading or investment decisions made based on the information presented on this page.